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Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Thu Oct 13 11 03:18 ET Gold Gold is stable below the neckline of the double-top pattern at 1702.00. Furthermore, the metal is also stable below 1680.00, which represents the 38.2% Fibonacci correction as shown above. These factors could support forming a bearish structure, which will be confirmed with a breach of 1650.00 and stability below it. Therefore, we expect a downside movement for today, but consolidation below 1702.00 and 1726.00 is required. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1575.00 and key resistance now at 1752.00. The short-term trend is to the upside targeting 1945.00 as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact. Support: 1670.00, 1665.00, 1653.00, 1635.00, 1615.00 Resistance: 1687.00, 1695.00, 1702.00, 1715.00, 1726.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above, we recommend selling gold below 1653.00, targeting 1575.00 and stop loss above 1702.00 might be appropriate

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Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Tue Oct 11 11 03:13 ET Gold Despite achieving an important closing yesterday above SMA 100, but as we discussed yesterday, we are still witnessing the re-testing action of the neckline for the potential double top formation that didn't reach its scientific technical target yet. At the same time, Stochastic continues moving towards overbought areas, while Vortex kept its negative sign intact. Hence, we still believe that the bearishness which started at 1920.00 will be resume soon; noting that a break below 1665.00 will support our overview. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1615.00 and key resistance now at 1752.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside targeting 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1673.00, 1665.00, 1655.00, 1648.00, 1635.00 Resistance: 1687.00, 1695.00, 1702.00, 1715.00, 1728.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold below 1665.00 targeting 1575.00 and stop loss above 1702.00 might be appropriate.

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Fri Oct 07 11 02:40 ET Gold We have left the numerously discussed bigger classical picture of the double top formation over daily studies behind us-check the weekly report- and now we will focus on the hourly chart. The hourly intervals offers a possibility of forming a bearish harmonic Bat pattern with PRZ –potential reversal zones- at 1669.00 where the Fibonacci rhythmic seen on the graph could actuate the metal to move lower. The harmonic structure is well supported by the negative divergence on Stochastic. Ultimately, areas of 1702.00 should hold to protect the bearishness as if the metal succeeded in surpassing this PRZ, the way will be cleared for drawing a new PRZ at 1702.00 where a Crab pattern will appear. Anyway, let us take it step by step and focus on the current pattern to see if it will confirm the bigger daily picture or not? The trading range for today is among the key support at 1575.00 and key resistance now at 1752.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside, targeting $ 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1648.00, 1635.00, 1615.00, 1596.00, 1575.00 Resistance: 1665.00, 1687.00, 1695.00, 1702.00, 1715.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold around 1665.00 targeting 1595.00 and stop loss above 1702.00 might be appropriate.

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Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Fri Sep 30 11 03:20 ET Gold The long upper wick of the last four-hour candlestick appearing on the secondary image proves the solidity of the resistance around 1640.00 where SMA 100 -colored in green on the main daily chart- is located. Consequently, we keep our classical bearish predictions over intraday basis, supported by the stability below the neckline areas of the double top pattern discussed earlier. Of note, a break of 1575.00 will actuate the metal to retest 1533.00 once more, while 1702.00 should act as a ceiling for the bearishness. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1533.00 and key resistance now at 1702.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside targeting 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1615.00, 1590.00, 1575.00, 1560.00, 1545.00 Resistance: 1630.00, 1648.00, 1665.00, 1687.00, 1702.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold around 1635.00 targeting 1533.00 and stop loss above 1702.00 might be appropriate

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Wed Sep 28 11 02:35 ET Gold Respecting yesterday's detected mathematical resistances, the metal declined aggressively from 1677.00 zones as seen on the provided graph. Now, we need to witness a breakout below the pivotal point of Murrey lines at 1625.00 to make sure that the bearish effect of the double top pattern is in progress over daily studies. Meanwhile, the negativity on Vortex index reflect the strength of the bearishness that was accelerated below the neckline areas at 1702.00. To summarize this, we keep our bearish anticipations intact as far as 1702.00 remains intact. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1533.00 and key resistance now at 1735.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside targeting 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1630.00, 1615.00, 1590.00, 1560.00, 1533.00 Resistance: 1665.00, 1687.00, 1702.00, 1715.00, 1728.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold around 1650.00 targeting 1575.00 and stop loss above 1702.00 might be appropriate.

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#1678 09-25-2011, 03:28 AM Godzilla Member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 409 To DA MOON -GUARANTEED!!!! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- They dropped it 100 pts. Thurs close was 1741.7, Fridays close was 1639.8, down -101.9. Actually starting from Wed close of 1808.1, the drop now is now about -168 pts in TWO days! Can you dig it!!!! Finally ended up, after hrs, at 1659.9. The close should have been ABOVE 1640 to be bullish, the close at 1639.8 is NOT bullish. The close takes gold all the way back to Aug 2nd where it closed at 1644.5. Fridays close was very significant in that not only did it close this far down, it also did it on a weekly basis, which has more umph (is that a word?). Take a look at the daily chart and you will notice that when it blasted off in Aug, after reaching 1820, it slid back to 1730 and then took off to 1920 to drop to 1706 and then to 1920 again. OK class, what does that tell you? If you notice, they traded basically in between 1720 to 1920. The region of 1620-1720 was not significantly traded. Now this is just my hypothesis, for the Dec contract, they knew it was going up, and I have a feeling that they traded in the upper region FIRST (1780-1920), and now theyre probably will now spend time trading in the lower region they zipped through, specifically 1620 to 1780-ish range. This means the Dec contract is done, and the next significant run will not occur until the Dec contract is dead (end of Nov, the next significant run should start about mid-Dec, thats the Feb 2012 ctrct). IF this scenario is wrong, then I would expect an immediate run back up 100 pts on Monday. No Can Do. Think about it, they just raised margins to 11k/ctrct. They needed a LOW close to trigger the margin calls (that was Fridays close), they will proably stay down here at least another day because if it runs UP 100 on Monday, the guys getting called for margin are gonna say, Hey I dont need to exit, its back up. They have to keep it down for another day, or few days. When these guys are forced to exit, they will sell and probably have another lower low. Either they stay down here another day or will have three (or four) small UP days and then slam it again, they may repeat this slam again this Thurs/Friday, but not as severe. RSI is getting very oversold, all the moving averages have turned down and are starting to head down. The 200-day mov-avg is at 1526.3. The bottom bottom is right around 1480, the low made on July 1st, break that and it will be going down for a longer timeframe. My guess is the bottom should be around 1580, thats the RECORD high (at that time) made on May 1st. Gold is now only 60 pts (from Fridays close) from that point. That point should hold. My last post said that the bottom should have been 1640, well Fridays action went below that, AND closed bearish at 1639.8. Thats why I said a close of something above 1640 would have been better, as a matter of fact, it should have stayed above 1650. It didnt. So what do you do? You listen to what the mkt is telling you. Even though this drop is manipulated, it is what it is. I believe ultimately the bottom, maybe intraday will be around 1580ish somewhere. Right now theyre telling you to put your stops at 1630 (low Friday was 1631.7), they will take that, and the next stop is at 1600, they will take that and some. Thats why 1580ish somewhere should be the ultimate low. The action so far tell me its going lower, if not Monday, then its gonna be several up days to get the juices flowing in the bulls again, and then they will hammer them again. After the bottoms in place, its NOT gonna shoot up like it did, it will slowly, jerky go up, everytime making the bulls think about another 100 pts crash along the way. ONLY PLAY NOW - GUARANTEED (or your paper back) ================================================== ==== The only SURE GUARANTEED plan (someone was asking for a guarantee) RIGHT now is to BUY physical gold. You should be buying everytime it goes down because you know why? Its gonna go WAY WAY UP (to the MOON) when all this paper manipulation is done. I drove by California Numismatic on Friday to get some gold eagles/buffalos, and you know what, there was a line wrapped around the building. I have NEVER seen this in the past 8 years. The guard told me its goning to take an hour to get inside. I know one thing was for sure, these people were NOT selling, they were there to BUY. I tried calling to get an order in, they just transferred you to an answering machine to leave a msg, that was the way is was all day to closing at 5pm pst. They were inundated with buy orders from across the country. My thoughts are 1) they just could not keep up with the volume of orders, and/or 2) they really didnt want to sell at this price. IF theyre gonna sit in this region 1580-1780 region, start buying slowly but surely. If the Dec contract is dead (in making another record high), they are letting you get physical CHEAP for about two months. I believe, bottom line, if you can walk out of the store for under $2000/oz, its a good buy, long-term wise because once it breeches $2000, its not gonna come back. I say out the door below $2k because these have a vig on them, and right now thats about $80-$90 bucks (~ 4-5% above spot price). Trading wise, I would hold off and see what takes place, it needs time to heal from this correction, I dont think its going to happen in one day, its gonna take weeks to recover. I HOPE IM WRONG =============== I hope Im wrong, and it zings back up because we were short from 1740 to 1690 and got long at 1690, held it down to 1631.7, and back up to 1660-ish and still holding. It was tough to hold when it slid right through 1650, and biting the bullet when it got near 1630. Right now you need to survive if you got long at 1690, and if it moves up to 1685-ish Sun night, exit or if you see 1640 again (Fridays close), exit, take the loss and fight another day. In the meantime, continue gathering gold eagles/buffalos by exchanging paper for metal. Its the steal of the century, think about it, theyre giving you gold for paper. You cant get a better deal. All this mumbo jumbo is from my nightmare I had on Friday night. Its all in the 8 inches of space between my left and right ear.

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Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Fri Sep 23 11 02:50 ET Gold Despite closing negatively below 76.4% Fibonacci retracement of the upside rally from 1702.00 to all-time high of 1920.00, but let us remind you that the previous suggested Elliott count -check the previous report- will not be negated unless we witness a sustained breakout below 1702.00. In the interim, there is a recently caught probability of forming a bullish butterfly pattern with a completion level at 1715.00. Thereby, we will continue staying asid since the aforesaid negative closing could be the first warning for a short term reversal and that is incompatible with the intraday positive harmonic structure. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1673.00 and key resistance now at 1811.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside targeting 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1728.00, 1715.00, 1702.00, 1673.00, 1648.00 Resistance: 1745.00, 1755.00, 1761.00, 1785.00, 1800.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is staying aside until an actionable setup presents itself to define the upcoming big move

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Thu Sep 22 11 02:42 ET Gold We still believe that staying aside for the time being is the convenient decision since the metal's upside move was limited yesterday below TEMA 20, while 76.4% Fibonacci for the wave from 1702.00 to 1920.00 protects the metal from below. Moreover, the suggested Elliott count is still valid as far as 1702.00 remains intact; whilst RSI 14 is very close to oversold areas. The contrarian between those technical factors forces us to be neutral. Breaching 1754.00 may take gold towards 1728.00 but on the other hand, breaching through 1800.00 will weaken the resistance around 1825.00 later. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1702.00 and key resistance now at 1845.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside targeting 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1761.00, 1755.00, 1745.00, 1728.00, 1715.00 Resistance: 1785.00, 1800.00, 1807.00, 1811.00, 1825.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is staying aside until an actionable setup presents itself to define the upcoming big move

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Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Wed Sep 21 11 02:46 ET Gold The metal has been very well supported around 1760.00 zones and currently trading above the resistance line of the previous detected falling wedge pattern. The aforesaid technical factors are positive, but we will continue staying aside over intraday basis since we have some technical obstacles that prevent us from joining the upside recovery from areas above 76.4% Fibonacci of the upside rally from 1702.00 to 1920.00 as follows: TEMA 20 continues pressuring the metal. AROON reflects some kind of technical hesitation. RSI 14 is somehow neutral. The solidity of resistance around 1825.00t. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1755.00 and key resistance now at 1888.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside targeting 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1800.00, 1785.00, 1772.00, 1761.00, 1755.00 Resistance: 1815.00, 1825.00, 1833.00, 1845.00, 1855.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is staying aside until an actionable setup presents itself to define the upcoming big move.

(ฮา)

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Tue Sep 20 11 02:36 ET Gold The long bearish bar that took the metal from 1811.00 levels to areas below 1785.00 zones signaled that yesterday's caught breakout above the falling wedge pattern was a false breakout. We have three major technical factors that prevent us from suggesting possible bearish resumption as follows: 1. The metal is very close to the important Fibonacci level of 76.4% for the upside rally from 1702.00 to all-time high of 1920.00. 2. RSI 14 is very close to oversold areas. 3. The proposed Elliott sequence is still valid as 1702.00 provides floor for the IM wave. Therefore, it is better to stay aside until clearer signs appear to pinpoint the upcoming big move. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1702.00 and key resistance now at 1855.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside targeting 1694.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1430.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1761.00, 1755.00, 1745.00, 1728.00, 1715.00 Resistance: 1785.00, 1800.00, 1807.00, 1815.00, 1825.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is staying aside until an actionable setup presents itself to define the upcoming big move