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[NeoSeemadong 52]

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals

Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com |

Wed Jul 06 11 02:58 ET

 

Gold

Gold inclined aggressively yesterday taking the metal above 1505.00 zones. The bearish effect of the harmonic pattern which dominated the wave form 1558.00 to 1477.00 becomes weaker. Now, the metal is attempting to breach 1516.00 zones which could define the next move. We know that it is earlier to discuss the harmonic probability of forming the bullish harmonic 5-0 pattern but the signs if this pattern started to appear where 1536.00 could be tested and may be 1558.00 to form the BC leg. Momentum indicators reflect overbought case making it difficult to surpass A point. Thereby, we prefer staying aside over intraday basis until a clearer sign appears to pinpoint the next big move.

 

The trading range for today is among the key support at 1488.00 and key resistance now at 1536.00.

 

The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside, targeting $ 1600.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1430.00 remain intact with weekly closing.

 

Support: 1513.00, 1505.00, 1500.00, 1492.00, 1488.00

Resistance: 1516.00, 1525.00, 1532.00, 1536.00, 1545.00

 

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, staying aside until a clearer sign appears to pinpoint the upcoming big move.

[NeoSeemadong 52]

Silver

Until this moment, we didn't see stability with a four hour closing above 35.65; thus, the bearishness is still valid despite the harmonic structure used during the previous period became weaker. Silver is very close to the main resistance line; whilst momentum indicators reflect obvious overbought case. Therefore, the bearishness may dominate the movements once more if the metal came below 35.00-34.70 zones. Conversely, breaching 35.65 with a four hour closing will weaken the bearish predictions and breaching 36.65 will cancel it out. We will be neutral watching out the price behaviors around 35.65.

 

The trading range for today is among the key support at 33.90 and key resistance now at 37.75.

 

The general trend over short term basis is to the downside, targeting 26.65 as far as areas of 48.50 remain intact with weekly closing.

 

Support: 35.00, 34.70, 34.35, 33.90, 33.60

Resistance: 35.90, 36.15, 36.35, 36.80, 37.00

 

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, staying aside until a clearer sign appears to pinpoint the upcoming big move.

[deb99 290]

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[NeoSeemadong 52]

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals

Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Thu Jul 07 11 02:49 ET

 

Gold

It seems that a harmonic 5-0 pattern possibility since the bullishness was clear. The BC leg is in progress which is the bigger leg where the C point should reside at 1536.00 or 1558.00 zones. Those levels are 161.8% and 224% projection of AB leg, while 200% is seen at 1550.00 as seen on the provided graph. We believe that the bullishness will continue towards the aforesaid levels, but this bullishness will be followed by 50% retracement of BC leg.

 

The trading range for today is among the key support at 1488.00 and key resistance now at 1536.00.

 

The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside, targeting $ 1600.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1430.00 remain intact with weekly closing.

 

Support: 1523.00, 1513.00, 1505.00, 1492.00, 1488.00

Resistance: 1532.00, 1536.00, 1545.00, 1550.00, 1558.00

 

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above, the bullishness is in favor but we are forced to stay aside since risk versus reward ratio is too high.

[NeoSeemadong 52]

Silver

Silver is presently hovering around the PRZ of the suggested Bat pattern and momentum indicators shows that the pattern has been completed. Stability below 36.35 suggests a bearish direction over intraday basis. Conversely, if we witnessed a four hour closing above 36.75 the second scenario of CRAB with D2 will be our scenario.

 

The trading range for today is among the key support at 33.90 and key resistance now at 37.85.

 

The general trend over short term basis is to the downside, targeting 26.65 as far as areas of 48.50 remain intact with weekly closing.

 

Support: 35.90, 35.20, 35.00, 34.70, 34.35

Resistance: 36.35, 36.75, 37.00, 37.45, 37.85

 

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling silver around 36.15 gradually targeting 35.20 and 34.50, while the stop loss is a four hour closing above 36.75 might be appropriate.

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[NeoSeemadong 52]

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals

Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com |

Tue Jul 12 11 03:04 ET

 

Gold

Yesterday's incline has been limited below 1558.00 zones which represent the extreme extent of the BC leg for the harmonic 5-0 pattern. The CD leg should start following the BC leg and we know that the CD leg retraces towards 50% of BC leg in the typical cases. Henceforth, areas of 1517.00 could be touched later, noting that 1558.00 should hold to keep the bearishness valid.

 

The trading range for today is among the key support at 1517.00 and key resistance now at 1580.00.

 

The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside, targeting $ 1600.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1430.00 remain intact with weekly closing.

 

Support: 1545.00, 1538.00, 1526.00, 1517.00, 1508.00

Resistance: 1550.00, 1558.00, 1562.00, 1565.00, 1575.00

 

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold around 1550.00 gradually targeting 1538.00, 1526 and 1517.00, while the stop loss is a four hour closing above 1558.00 might be appropriate

[NeoSeemadong 52]

Silver

 

The metal fluctuated yesterday ending the day with big collapse which confirmed the bearish harmonic formation. Now, silver is trading below 36.35 zones; whilst RSI is stable below 50.00 supporting the bearish anticipations. Stochastic reflects oversold case suggesting more fluctuation, but stability below 36.35 zones makes the bearishness in favor. To conclude, the metal may retest 35.60 zones once more before moving to the dowside towards 34.76 areas. The aforesaid corrections are 38.2% and 61.8% of CD leg.

 

The trading range for today is among the key support at 33.30 and key resistance now at 37.45.

 

The general trend over short term basis is to the downside, targeting 26.65 as far as areas of 48.50 remain intact with weekly closing.

 

Support: 35.60, 35.00, 34.76, 34.35, 33.90

Resistance: 35.90, 36.35, 36.75, 37.00, 37.45

 

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling silver around 35.90 gradually targeting 35.60 and 34.76 , while the stop loss is a four hour closing above 36.75 might be appropriate.

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[NeoSeemadong 52]

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals

Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Wed Jul 13 11 03:04 ET

 

Gold

Stability above 1558.00 has completely damaged the harmonic 5-0 pattern discussed yesterday. Although, it is a bullish pattern but we should witness a downside correction before moving higher. After this failure, we will look at the ascending channel that dominated the movements from 1477.00 zones to present levels. This bullish channel has support line meeting SMA 20 as seen on the graph. But, momentum indicators are showing clear overbought signs and that may cause correction downside wave. Stability above 1550.00-1562.00 makes the bullishness valid; whilst a break of 1548.00 may damage the bullish wave temporarily.

 

The trading range for today is among the key support at 1538.00 and key resistance now at 1608.00.

 

The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside, targeting $ 1600.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1430.00 remain intact with weekly closing.

 

Support: 1562.00, 1558.00, 1550.00, 1548.00, 1540.00

Resistance: 1575.00, 1580.00, 1585.00, 1600.00, 1607.00

 

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, buying gold around 1558.00 gradually targeting 1575.00, 1585 and 1600.00, while the stop loss is a four hour closing below 1545.00 might be appropriate

[NeoSeemadong 52]

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals

Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com |

Wed Jul 13 11 03:04 ET

 

Silver

We have discussed in our previous report that 34.76 level would define the next move and we see how the bearish effect of the harmonic pattern has been limited around it where the second technical objective of the pattern exists. From those levels, the metal bounced after achieving a huge part of this week's expectations. This bounce occurred after retesting the previous broken resistance for the downside channel-turned into support-. The metal stabilized once again above 36.35 which may confirm a bullish wave, but Stochastic reflects overbought case attempting to move downwards. Since the price is below the 36.35 and above 35.60, we will be neutral during the morning session until we make sure that the harmonic structure's effect is over.

 

The trading range for today is among the key support at 34.35 and key resistance now at 38.00.

 

The general trend over short term basis is to the downside, targeting 26.65 as far as areas of 48.50 remain intact with weekly closing.

 

Support: 36.00, 35.76, 35.60, 35.00, 34.76

Resistance: 36.35, 36.75, 37.00, 37.45, 37.85

 

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, staying aside until a clearer sign appears to pinpoint the upcoming big move.

[NeoSeemadong 52]

COMEX Gold Continuous Contract

Last 1588.2 Change + 2.7 Change % +0.2%

Open 1584.2 High 1590.8 Low 1582.1

 

Last Updated: Jul 14 01:45 GMT

ถูกแก้ไข กรกฎาคม 14, 2011 โดย NeoSeemadong