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[NeoSeemadong 52]

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals

Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com |

Thu Jul 14 11 03:10 ET

 

Gold

After achieving yesterday's expected bullishness which was confirmed by breaching 1558.00 zones, gold recorded new historical highs. Actually, momentum indicators have been pushed towards overbought areas. In the interim, price came beneath the resistance of the ascending channel, closing below the upper line of Bollinger bands. Those signs suggest potential downside recovery targeting the middle line of Bollinger around 1562.00 and probably will extend towards the support line of the channel at 1556.00 before resuming the bullish direction, targeting 1600.00-1607.00 areas.

 

The trading range for today is among the key support at 1545.00 and key resistance now at 1615.00.

 

The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside targeting 1600.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1430.00 remain intact with weekly closing.

 

Support: 1575.00, 1562.00, 1556.00, 1550.00, 1545.00

Resistance: 1588.00, 1600.00, 1607.00, 1615.00, 1629.00

 

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, buying gold around 1562.00 gradually targeting 1588.00, 1600.00 and 1607.00, while the stop loss is a four hour closing below 1545.00 might be appropriate.

[NeoSeemadong 52]

Silver

Yesterday's predications were achieved flawlessly since the four hour closing above 36.75 has taken the metal towards 38.25 zones. Now, we are facing two harmonic probabilities of AB=CD pattern. The PRZ of the first pattern reside at 38.25; while the second reside at 39.00-39.10 zones. Momentum indicators reflect overbought case supporting the first probability. Note that a four hour closing above 39.10 will bring another aggressive upside wave and our bearish expectations are based on witnessing a correction due to the aforesaid technical factors until the price behaviors proves the opposite.

 

The trading range for today is among the key support at 34.35 and key resistance now at 38.00.

 

The general trend over short term basis is to the downside targeting 26.65 as far as areas of 48.50 remain intact with weekly closing.

 

Support: 37.60, 37.45, 37.10, 36.75, 36.35

Resistance: 38.25, 38.90, 39.10, 39.75, 40.20

 

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling silver around 38.10 gradually targeting 37.60,37.10 and 36.75 , while the stop loss is a four hour closing above 39.10 might be appropriate.

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[NeoSeemadong 52]

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals

Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com |

Mon Jul 18 11 03:20 ET

 

Gold

The provided daily graph shows that the metal IM wave that started at 680.00 zones is still in progress, where we believe that the internal fourth of the extended fifth wave has been placed at 1476.00 areas. Thus; the bullishness may continue during this week, mainly targeting 1627.00 zones, followed by the psychological level of 1650.00, subsequently 1694.00 areas over upcoming sessions where 161.8% Fibonacci projection level of the internal third wave exists. The IM -impulsive- wave is supported by the positive sign on AROON and stability above SMA 50 -trend indicators- while Stochastic may cause a slight correction before resuming the upside rally.

 

The trading range for this week is among the key support at 1529.00 and key resistance now at 1661.00.

 

The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside targeting 1694.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1430.00 remain intact with weekly closing.

 

Support: 1589.00, 1574.00, 1562.00, 1558.00, 1552.00

Resistance: 1600.00, 1607.00, 1625.00, 1635.00, 1650.00

 

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, buying gold around 1589.00 targeting 1650.00 and stop loss below 1558.00 might be appropriate.

[NeoSeemadong 52]

Silver

Stability above 39.10-60 was an evidence for ending the slight downside correction in the past week. Observing the chart above, we find the pair is stable above 38.2% Fibonacci correction at 39.10 shown above, and according to Fibonacci rules, consolidation above this correction suggests retesting the 50% Fibonacci correction, especially after the pair stabilized above the ascending support shown in blue above. Therefore, we conclude that any trading above 39.00-10 supports the suggested upside move, which could lead the pair to retest $41.05 per ounce.

 

The trading range for this week is among the key support at 37.00 and key resistance now at 42.50.

 

The short-term trend is to the downside targeting 26.65 as far as areas of 48.50 remain intact with weekly closing.

 

Support: 39.10, 38.40, 38.00, 37.45, 37.00

Resistance: 40.20, 40.70, 41.05, 41.55, 41.85

 

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is buying silver around 39.10 and take profit in stages at 40.20, 41.05, and stop loss with 4-hour closing below 38.40 might be appropriate this week

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[NeoSeemadong 52]

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals

Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Thu Jul 21 11 02:57 ET

 

Gold

Just two dollars separated between the metal and the sensitive level of 1578.00 which represents 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the CD leg for the bearish harmonic butterfly pattern. Areas around 1580.00 succeeded in pushing gold to soar towards the psychological level of 1600.00 once more, but we still need to witness a sustained breakout above 1607.00-1609.00 areas to make sure that the pattern will be turned into :Deep Crab" pattern as we discussed in the previous report. In the interim, breaching through yesterday's recorded low will weaken 1578.00 and will clarify that the metal is under the negative pressure of Butterfly pattern. Therefore, we will remain neutral for the time being; noting that, staying aside is a position in such cases of huge fluctuation.

 

The trading range for today is among the key support at 1562.00 and key resistance now at 1635.00.

 

The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside, targeting $ 1694.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1430.00 remain intact with weekly closing.

 

Support: 1595.00, 1585.00, 1578.00, 1572.00, 1565.00

Resistance: 1607.00, 1615.00, 1627.00, 1635.00, 1650.00

 

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, staying aside until a clearer sign appears to pinpoint the upcoming big move.

[NeoSeemadong 52]

Silver

The metal inclined sharply yesterday, after achieving the expected downside trend. But, by observing the chart, we can find the upside trend is still limited below 40.40 and 41.20. While Stochastic is overbought, which lead us to expect the pair to decline unless stability above 41.20 is confirmed.

 

The trading range for today is among the key support at 37.05 and key resistance now at 42.50.

 

The short-term trend is to the downside targeting 26.65 as far as areas of 48.50 remain intact with weekly closing.

 

Support: 39.75, 39.30, 38.90, 38.25, 37.95

Resistance: 40.20, 40.40, 40.90, 41.20, 41.85

 

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is selling silver around 40.20 and take profit in stages at 39.30, 38.25, and stop loss with 4-hour closing above 41.20 might be appropriate

ถูกแก้ไข กรกฎาคม 21, 2011 โดย NeoSeemadong

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[NeoSeemadong 52]

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals

Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com |

Tue Jul 26 11 03:10 ET

 

Silver

 

Looking at the chart above, we will find that the metal couldn’t breach 41.20, which suggests that the downside correction is still available. Trading below 40.40 supports the downside trend, but now, stability below 44.00 is needed to confirm the return of the downside trend and to eliminate the possibility of formatting the butterfly harmonic pattern (more information and details are available in our previous and weekly reports). Consolidation below 44.00 with a four hour closing supports the downside trend’s return.

 

The trading range for today is among the key support at 38.05 and key resistance now at 41.20.

 

The short-term trend is to the downside targeting 26.65 as far as areas of 48.50 remain intact with weekly closing.

 

Support: 40.00, 39.75, 39.20, 38.70, 38.05

Resistance: 40.40, 40.75, 40.90, 41.20, 41.85

 

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above we recommend selling silver with 4-hour closing below 40.00 and take profit in stages at (39.20, 38.70 and 38.05) and stop loss with 4-hour closing above 40.80 might be appropriate today.