NeoSeemadong

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Tue Dec 20 11 03:07 ET Gold The daily closing below 100% Fibonacci retracement of the CD leg for our accurate bearish harmonic AB=CD pattern is another technical motive that should bring more bearishness over intraday basis. We still see chances for resuming the downside journey of reaching the extended technical objectives of the harmonic formation. A break of 1582.00-1580.00 zones will bring panic sell-off actions and will negate the positivity appearing on Stochastic. We recommend reviewing the weekly report for more details about the aforementioned pattern. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1550.00 and key resistance now at 1653.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside, targeting $ 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1590.00, 1582.00, 1575.00, 1559.00, 1549.00 Resistance: 1603.00, 1607.00, 1615.00, 1620.00, 1628.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold around 1605.00 targeting 1540.00 and stop loss above 1645.00 might be appropriate.

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Fri Dec 09 11 03:19 ET Gold The technical secret behind yesterday's collapse could be seen on the four-hour chart since the metal has met the key resistance level of 1755.00 when Stochastic overlapped negatively inside overbought areas. Now, we believe that, gold is on its way to breach 50% Fibonacci retracement of the upside wave from 1603.00 to 1802.00 at 1703.00 after some kind of fluctuation, supported by the ceiling of SMA 20 and SMA 50. Finally, the secondary image of the daily studies reflects the strength of the bearishness as it engulfed the previous two days incline. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1650.00 and key resistance now at 1765.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside, targeting $ 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1703.00, 1695.00, 1687.00, 1673.00, 1665.00 Resistance: 1715.00, 1720.00, 1728.00, 1735.00, 1748.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold below 1720.00 targeting 1650.00.00 and stop loss above 1765.00 might be appropriate.

December 2, 2011 การซื้อขายทองคำในอินเดียลดลง เนื่องจากหมดช่วงเทศกาล Diwali ยอดการซื้อทองคำในอินเดียลดลงเนื่องจากหมดช่วงเทศกาล Diwali และกลุ่มธุรกิจในเอเชียที่หยุดชะงักเพราะยังคงจับตามองสถานการณ์ในเศรษฐกิจโลกอยู่ โดยการบริโภคทองคำอินเดียลดลงประมาณ 7 เปอร์เซนต์ ในเดือนพฤศจิกายน ซึ่งเป็นการลดลงค่อนข้างมากที่สุดในรอบปี โดยราคาทองคำแท่งของอินเดียทำราคาสูงสุดเป็นประวัติการณ์ที่ระดับ 91,321.29 รูปี/ออนซ์ เมื่อวันพฤหัสบดี ก่อนที่จะลดลงมาต่ำกว่าระดับ 90,000 รูปี/ออนซ์ ในขณะที่ราคาการซื้อขายทองคำสหรัฐฯ อยู่เหนือระดับ 1,740 ดอลลาร์/ออนซ์ หรือประมาณ 9% ซึ่งต่ำว่าจุดสูงสุดที่ระดับ 1,920.30 ดอลลาร์/ออนซ์ในเดือนกันยายน การซื้อขายทองคำแท่งในเอเชียชะลอตัวลงหลังจากที่ราคาเพิ่มสูงขึ้นเหนือระดับ 1,700 ดอลลาร์/ออนซ์ โดยผู้ซื้อมีความกังวลถึงการกักตุนทองคำที่มีอยู่ไปจนถึงสิ้นปี โดยเฉพาะจากวิกฤตเศรษฐกิจโลก และจากปัญหาทางภาคการเงิน ซึ่งนักลงทุนกำลังจับตามองการประชุมยูโรโซนในสัปดาห์นี้ ที่มา: Reuters - Gold buying eases in India as festival season ends, 2 Dec 2011, 12:13 pm IST By Rujun Shen and Siddesh Mayenkar

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Thu Dec 01 11 04:28 ET Gold Yesterday's caught negative divergence has been limited at the pivotal support of 1703.00 which the metal couldn’t breach and thus, our suggested recommendation wasn't activated. The violent incline occurred later has taken gold above the key resistance of 1740.00, but Stochastic also was taken to the overbought areas. Thus, a bearish crossover was achieved as seen on the provided four-hour graph preventing us from suggesting more incline. Consequently, we will stay aside until we result of the aforesaid negative crossover which contradicts the positivity of SMA 20 and SMA 50. A break of 1755.00 will assist the metal to neglect this bearish sign; whilst breaching 1740.00 will bring bearish actions over intraday basis. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1673.00 and key resistance now at 1802.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside, targeting $ 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1735.00, 1728.00, 1715.00, 1707.00, 1703.00 Resistance: 1753.00, 1765.00, 1773.00, 1785.00, 1795.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, staying aside until an actionable setup presents itself to pinpoint the upcoming big move.

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weekly 301111

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Wed Nov 30 11 03:39 ET Gold Gold continued its upside recovery which started at 1665.00 touching 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the upside wave from 1603.00 to 1803.00 as seen on the provided four-hour chart. We can see how SMA 50-colrored in red- and SMA 20-blue- have provided the metal with support since the opening of this week, but there are two main technical catalyst that are contraditing with the above mentioned positive factor as follows: The sensitivity of the current levels. The potential negative divergence which is under formation on Stochastic. Thereby, we are obliged to stay aside until the metal presents an actionable setup to pinpoint the upcoming big move. Finally, breaching 1705.00 will bring the negative picture back into focus. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1650.00 and key resistance now at 1785.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside, targeting $ 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1715.00, 1707.00, 1703.00, 1698.00, 1687.00 Resistance: 1728.00, 1732.00, 1735.00, 1753.00, 1765.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, staying aside until an actionable setup presents itself to pinpoint the upcoming big move.

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11-17-2011, 11:12 PM christogl Member Originally Posted by hiimdoug I posted a chart last weekend (https://www.kitcomm.com/showthread.p...65#post1572065) and after today action I'm gaining confidence in that count. Here is an updated picture of that chart (I've changed nothing on it, just updated the prices). There are a few things to take note of, and as to why I think Gold still has a long way down: RSI has crossed below 50. Not that it has too, but notice that the RSI has yet to enter the oversold range in this entire correction, in fact the last time Gold was in oversold territory was Oct. 2008. Bear Cross on the MACD, bearish histogram. Bearish DI cross on the ADX, also notice the ADX line turning up! The stochastic is plunging fast. God Speed. If we break 1310 the gold bull is over. I prefer Quad's count, with this being a 4th wave, followed by an extended 5th. Buy in May, go away.

http://globalmarketwatch.biz/extwebs/gold-d-ind-16nov11.png

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Thu Nov 17 11 03:40 ET Gold Gold tested 1757.00 where it failed to trade below 1755.00 level, we are still anticipating a breach below 1755.00 that may confirm the bearish effect of the AB=CD bearish harmonic pattern. The metal may be forming a descending triangle formation as well, suggesting more bearishness, a test of the descending resistance of this formation around 1785.00 followed by a reversal to the downside again to breach 1755.00 will confirm the bearish pattern and send the pair lower toward our suggested targets. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1695.00 and key resistance now at 1830.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside targeting 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1765.00, 1753.00, 1745.00, 1735.00, 1728.00 Resistance: 1785.00, 1795.00, 1800.00, 1815.00, 1830.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold around 1775.00 targeting 1702.00 and stop loss above 1815.00 might be appropriate.

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Wed Nov 16 11 03:18 ET Gold The metal has declined once more after touching the key resistance levels between 1775.00 and 1785.00 as seen on the provided daily graph. At the same time, Stochastic has overlapped negatively suggesting that the negative effect of our bearish harmonic AB=CD pattern remains valid and it should assist the metal to penetrate the key support level of 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of CD leg. Of note, we should be careful if any break occurred above 1803.00 areas and for those who can bear risk; our risk limit will be the 1815.00 resistance. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1695.00 and key resistance now at 1830.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside, targeting $ 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1753.00, 1745.00, 1735.00, 1728.00, 1715.00 Resistance: 1773.00, 1785.00, 1795.00, 1800.00, 1815.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold around 1775.00 targeting 1702.00 and stop loss above 1815.00 might be appropriate.

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Tue Nov 15 11 03:16 ET Gold The metal has showed bearish tendency suggesting that the bearish harmonic AB=CD pattern is still in favor as far as 1803.00 remains intact. The main test for the validity of this harmonic structure resides at 1755.00 which represent 23.6% Fibonacci of CD leg. At the same time, we see Stochastic is in need for a breakout below this pivotal support to keep pace with our harmonic outlook. Anyway, we look forward to witness bearish actions over intraday basis, but we recommend being careful with any break above 1803.00 areas and for those who can bear risk; our risk limit will be the 1815.00 resistance. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1695.00 and key resistance now at 1830.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside, targeting $ 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1753.00, 1745.00, 1735.00, 1728.00, 1715.00 Resistance: 1773.00, 1785.00, 1795.00, 1800.00, 1815.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold around 1775.00 targeting 1702.00 and stop loss above 1815.00 might be appropriate.

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Mon Nov 14 11 03:21 ET Gold The metal has moved upwards on Friday's trading threatening our suggested bearish harmonic AB=CD pattern which didn't reach its projected technical objectives as 38.2% Fibonacci of CD leg-the first technical target of this harmonic study- resides at 1726.00. Furthermore, Stochastic succeeded in overlapping positively and that may take gold towards the second potential reversal zones –D 2- at 1842.00, but we have two technical obstacles which prevent us form suggesting more upside actions as follows: The solidity of 1803.00 resistance. The overbought sign appearing on the four-hour interval. Consequently, we will avoid trading until the metal shows the ability to beat 1803.00; otherwise, the major bearish harmonic AB=CD will be valid. The trading range for this week is among the key support at 1702.00 and key resistance now at 1885.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside, targeting $ 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1773.00, 1753.00, 1745.00, 1728.00, 1715.00 Resistance: 1800.00, 1815.00, 1830.00, 1842.00, 1855.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, staying aside until an actionable setup introduces itself to pinpoint the upcoming big move.

THstock Invest 4:08pm Nov 11 Italy May Need to Exit Euro: Published: Friday, 11 Nov 2011 | 2:02 AM ET By: Shai Ahmed CNBC Associate Editor Italy may need to exit the euro zone and revert to its own national currency to resolve its debt crisis, thereby forcing the break-up of the euro zone, Nouriel Roubini wrote in an opinion piece in the Financial Times on Friday. Roubini argued that with yields on its sovereign debt hovering around the 7 percent mark, market access may become limited for Italy. A forced restructuring of its debt could help solve some of its issues, but it would not address other issues that hamper the Italian economy such as a lack of competitiveness, a large current account deficit and lower gross domestic product, he wrote. Unless a lender of last resort for “stressed” countries within the euro zone can buy the sovereign debt, the higher yields would reach unsustainable levels, Roubini argued. However, to date the European Central Bank has underlined its independence by stating it would not act as the lender of last resort for the euro zone economies. Roubini argued the only way to avoid a breakup of the euro zone would be for the ECB to become a lender of last resort, for a fall in the euro's value in line with the dollar and for fiscal stimulus for the "core" euro zone and austerity in the periphery to take place. ________________________________________

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Wed Oct 26 11 03:30 ET Gold Sharp inclines took the metal above the previously detected neckline for the huge reversal double top pattern which we depended on it before achieving the collapse towards 1533.00 zones. Was the effect of this reversal pattern limited at 1533.00 earlier due to yesterday's positive closing around 1704.00? We will not judge precipitately since SMA 50 represents a very hard technical obstacle over daily studies; whilst an overbought case started to appear on the four-hour time scale. To make sure that yesterday's breakout is not a false one; we will stay aside today until the metal proves the bullish sign on AROON indicator. Note that breaching through 1740.00 will trigger an aggressive upside wave. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1635.00 and key resistance now at 1785.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside targeting 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1702.00, 1695.00, 1687.00, 1673.00, 1665.00 Resistance: 1728.00, 1735.00, 1755.00, 1762.00, 1785.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, staying aside until an actionable technical setup presents itself to pinpoint the next big move.

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Tue Oct 25 11 03:07 ET Gold The metal continued its steady movements below the previous broken support of the rising wedge pattern as seen on the provided daily chart. Therefore, the bearish effect of this continuation pattern may start sooner; noting that the negative effect of the bigger double top pattern is still favored. Moving to the hourly interval, we can catch Stochastic approaching overbought area. Consequently, we keep our bearish predications intact over intraday basis; however, breaching 1635.00 will accelerate. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1595.00 and key resistance now at 1702.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside, targeting $ 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1648.00, 1635.00, 1627.00, 1615.00, 1611.00 Resistance: 1665.00, 1673.00, 1687.00, 1695.00, 1702.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold around 1665.00 targeting 1595.00 and stop loss above 1702.00 might be appropriate.

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Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Mon Oct 24 11 03:06 ET Gold As we mentioned in our previous report, trading below the lower line of Keltner channel is considered to be an oversold signal; thus, the metal retraced from 1610.00 zones as seen on the provided daily graph. Now, the bullishness on Stochastic may cause a retest for the previous broken SMA 100 -colored in green- where it will also retest the previous broken support line for the minor rising wedge pattern before moving downwards once more, supported by the major double top structure that still has downside targets to be reached. Only a breakout with a daily closing above the neckline areas around 1702.00 will damage the bearish outlook and will make us reconsider the technical target of the aforesaid classical negativity. The trading range for this week is among the key support at 1533.00 and key resistance now at 1728.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside targeting 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1635.00, 1627.00, 1615.00, 1590.00, 1575.00 Resistance: 1653.00, 1665.00, 1673.00, 1687.00, 1702.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold around 1665.00 targeting 1595.00 and stop loss above 1702.00 might be appropriate.

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Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Wed Oct 19 11 03:22 ET Gold After achieving a convenient breakout below 1653.00 zones and below the lower line -support- for the rising wedge pattern, the metal retraced from the pivotal support around 1625.00 as seen on the provided daily chart. We classify the current mild recovery as a retesting action for the broken support line and it may start moving downwards once more over intraday basis, supported by the negativity on Stochastic. The secondary image of the hourly interval shows the importance of 1653.00 since it represents the pivot of camarilla lines and that is why we need to witness one more breakout below it. The major double top pattern is still favored as far as trading remains below its neckline at 1702.00 areas. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1615.00 and key resistance now at 1728.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside targeting 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1653.00, 1648.00, 1635.00, 1615.00, 1590.00 Resistance: 1665.00, 1673.00, 1680.00, 1687.00, 1695.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold with a breakout below 1653.00 targeting 1575.00 and stop loss above 1702.00 might be appropriate.

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Tue Oct 18 11 03:19 ET Gold After touching the upper line of Keltner channel, the metal started to move downwards as seen on the provided daily graph. Stochastic gives off a clear negative sign suggesting that the entire correctional movements from 1533.00 might have been limited below the neckline areas of our caught double top pattern. Henceforth, we keep our classical bearish predications intact over intraday basis, supported by the minor rising wedge -continuation pattern- while the secondary four-hour graph shows the solid support areas between 1656.00-1653.00 which should be breached to confirm the negative scenario. Conversely, a daily closing above 1702.00 -neckline- will force us to reconsider our classical overview. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1615.00 and key resistance now at 1728.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside targeting 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1665.00, 1653.00, 1648.00, 1635.00, 1615.00 Resistance: 1680.00, 1687.00, 1695.00, 1702.00, 1715.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold with a breakout below 1653.00 targeting 1575.00 and stop loss above 1702.00 might be appropriate.

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com | Mon Oct 17 11 02:58 ET Gold Stochastic is still attempting to give the required bearish sign over daily studies where the entire correctional movements from 1533.00 to the current levels are still trapped below the neckline areas of the double top formation. The classical double top structure hasn't reached its scientific technical target yet, warning a new downside move may start sooner, noting that the possibility of drawing a rising wedge pattern increased. A break of 1702.00 will indicate that the bearish effect of the double top pattern has been limited earlier at 1533.00, while breaching through 1653.00 will accelerate the awaited negative scenario. The trading range for this week is among the key support at 1575.00 and key resistance now at 1785.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside targeting 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1673.00, 1653.00, 1635.00, 1627.00, 1615.00 Resistance: 1687.00, 1702.00, 1715.00, 1728.00, 1735.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold with a breakout below 1653.00 targeting 1575.00 and stop loss above 1702.00 might be appropriate.

October 17, 2011 ราคาทองคำอาจจะเพิ่มขึ้นในสัปดาห์นี้ ราคาทองคำอาจจะเพิ่มขึ้นในสัปดาห์นี้ มีแรงหนุนจากสถานการณ์เรื่องวิกฤตหนี้ที่ดีขึ้นในยุโรป และตัวเลขเศรษฐกิจสหรัฐที่ออกมาดีกว่าที่คาด จากผลสำรวจ Kitco จากนักลงทุนทั้งหมด 25 คน 21 คน มองว่าจะเพิ่มขึ้น 3 คนมองลง 1 คน มองว่าจะ sideways ราคาทองคำส่งมอบเดือนธันวาคม ที่ตลาด Comex เพิ่มขึ้น 2.9% ที่ 1,683 เหรียญ ต่อ ออนซ์ ราคา Silver เดือนธันวาคม เพิ่มขึ้น 3.8% ที่ 32.173 เหรียญ ต่อ ออนซ์ มุมมองตลาดอยู่ในด้านบวกมากขึ้น พร้อมกับการประชุม G20 ในกรุงปารีสในวันศุกร์และวันเสาร์ จากรายงานข่าวแจ้งว่า ไม่มีอะไรที่ชัดแจ้งในการประชุมครั้งนี้ IMF หารือกันเรื่องการเพิ่มความสามารถในการปล่อยกู้ให้ยุโรปเพื่อยุติวิกฤตหนี้ James Steel นักวิเคราะห์จาก HSBC กล่าวว่า ยังมีการจับตาดูเรื่องวิกฤตหนี้สินที่จะมีผลกระทบต่อราคาทองคำ น่าจะมีการประชุมสหภาพยุโรป ในวันที่ 23 ตุลาคมนี้ เพื่อทบทวนแนวทางป้องกันธนาคารต่างๆในยุโรปจากปัญหาหนี้สินในสัปดาห์นี้ ในสัปดาห์นี้มีตัวเลขที่สำคัญออกมาหลายตัว ในวันจันทร์จะมีดัชนี Empire State และตัวเลขผลผลิตอุตสาหกรรม วันอังคารมีตัวเลขดัชนีผู้ผลิต และในวันพุธมีตัวเลขดัชนีราคาผู้บริโภค แนวรับที่แข็งแกร่งของทองคำอยู่ที่ 1,650 เหรียญ ถ้าปิดต่ำกว่าระดับนี้ อาจจะไปทดสอบที่ระดับ 1,605 เหรียญ www.kitco.com 14-10-2011 2:16 PM แปลข่าวโดย ทีมวิเคราะห์ทองคำ MTS Gold