บทวิเคราะห์ของกูรูนอก

[NeoSeemadong 52]

THstock Invest 4:08pm Nov 11

 

Italy May Need to Exit Euro:

 

Published: Friday, 11 Nov 2011 | 2:02 AM ET

By: Shai Ahmed

CNBC Associate Editor

 

Italy may need to exit the euro zone and revert to its own national currency to resolve its debt crisis, thereby forcing the break-up of the euro zone, Nouriel Roubini wrote in an opinion piece in the Financial Times on Friday. Roubini argued that with yields on its sovereign debt hovering around the 7 percent mark, market access may become limited for Italy. A forced restructuring of its debt could help solve some of its issues, but it would not address other issues that hamper the Italian economy such as a lack of competitiveness, a large current account deficit and lower gross domestic product, he wrote.

 

Unless a lender of last resort for “stressed” countries within the euro zone can buy the sovereign debt, the higher yields would reach unsustainable levels, Roubini argued. However, to date the European Central Bank has underlined its independence by stating it would not act as the lender of last resort for the euro zone economies.

 

Roubini argued the only way to avoid a breakup of the euro zone would be for the ECB to become a lender of last resort, for a fall in the euro's value in line with the dollar and for fiscal stimulus for the "core" euro zone and austerity in the periphery to take place.

 

________________________________________

[deb99 290]

ขอบคุณครับ

[NeoSeemadong 52]

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals

Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com |

Mon Nov 14 11 03:21 ET

 

Gold

The metal has moved upwards on Friday's trading threatening our suggested bearish harmonic AB=CD pattern which didn't reach its projected technical objectives as 38.2% Fibonacci of CD leg-the first technical target of this harmonic study- resides at 1726.00. Furthermore, Stochastic succeeded in overlapping positively and that may take gold towards the second potential reversal zones –D 2- at 1842.00, but we have two technical obstacles which prevent us form suggesting more upside actions as follows:

 

The solidity of 1803.00 resistance.

 

The overbought sign appearing on the four-hour interval.

 

Consequently, we will avoid trading until the metal shows the ability to beat 1803.00; otherwise, the major bearish harmonic AB=CD will be valid.

 

The trading range for this week is among the key support at 1702.00 and key resistance now at 1885.00.

 

The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside, targeting $ 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing.

 

Support: 1773.00, 1753.00, 1745.00, 1728.00, 1715.00

Resistance: 1800.00, 1815.00, 1830.00, 1842.00, 1855.00

 

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, staying aside until an actionable setup introduces itself to pinpoint the upcoming big move.

[mateenee 9]

ขอบคุณมากคับ

[NeoSeemadong 52]

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals

Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com |

Tue Nov 15 11 03:16 ET

 

Gold

The metal has showed bearish tendency suggesting that the bearish harmonic AB=CD pattern is still in favor as far as 1803.00 remains intact. The main test for the validity of this harmonic structure resides at 1755.00 which represent 23.6% Fibonacci of CD leg. At the same time, we see Stochastic is in need for a breakout below this pivotal support to keep pace with our harmonic outlook. Anyway, we look forward to witness bearish actions over intraday basis, but we recommend being careful with any break above 1803.00 areas and for those who can bear risk; our risk limit will be the 1815.00 resistance.

 

The trading range for today is among the key support at 1695.00 and key resistance now at 1830.00.

 

The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside, targeting $ 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing.

 

Support: 1753.00, 1745.00, 1735.00, 1728.00, 1715.00

Resistance: 1773.00, 1785.00, 1795.00, 1800.00, 1815.00

 

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold around 1775.00 targeting 1702.00 and stop loss above 1815.00 might be appropriate.

[chinchilla 25]

thank you krub

[deb99 290]

ขอบคุณครับ

[Ohshikung 80]

ขอบคุณครับ

[NeoSeemadong 52]

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals

Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com |

Wed Nov 16 11 03:18 ET

 

Gold

The metal has declined once more after touching the key resistance levels between 1775.00 and 1785.00 as seen on the provided daily graph. At the same time, Stochastic has overlapped negatively suggesting that the negative effect of our bearish harmonic AB=CD pattern remains valid and it should assist the metal to penetrate the key support level of 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of CD leg. Of note, we should be careful if any break occurred above 1803.00 areas and for those who can bear risk; our risk limit will be the 1815.00 resistance.

 

The trading range for today is among the key support at 1695.00 and key resistance now at 1830.00.

 

The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside, targeting $ 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing.

 

Support: 1753.00, 1745.00, 1735.00, 1728.00, 1715.00

Resistance: 1773.00, 1785.00, 1795.00, 1800.00, 1815.00

 

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold around 1775.00 targeting 1702.00 and stop loss above 1815.00 might be appropriate.

[mateenee 9]

ขอบคุณนะคับ สำหรับข้อมูลดีๆ

[NeoSeemadong 52]

Technical Analysis for Precious Metals

Analysis | Commodity Technical Analysis | Written by ecPulse.com |

Thu Nov 17 11 03:40 ET

 

Gold

Gold tested 1757.00 where it failed to trade below 1755.00 level, we are still anticipating a breach below 1755.00 that may confirm the bearish effect of the AB=CD bearish harmonic pattern. The metal may be forming a descending triangle formation as well, suggesting more bearishness, a test of the descending resistance of this formation around 1785.00 followed by a reversal to the downside again to breach 1755.00 will confirm the bearish pattern and send the pair lower toward our suggested targets.

 

The trading range for today is among the key support at 1695.00 and key resistance now at 1830.00.

 

The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside targeting 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing.

 

Support: 1765.00, 1753.00, 1745.00, 1735.00, 1728.00

Resistance: 1785.00, 1795.00, 1800.00, 1815.00, 1830.00

 

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold around 1775.00 targeting 1702.00 and stop loss above 1815.00 might be appropriate.

[NeoSeemadong 52]

http://globalmarketwatch.biz/extwebs/gold-d-ind-16nov11.png

[NeoSeemadong 52]

11-17-2011, 11:12 PM

christogl

Member

 

Originally Posted by hiimdoug

 

I posted a chart last weekend (https://www.kitcomm.com/showthread.p...65#post1572065) and after today action I'm gaining confidence in that count. Here is an updated picture of that chart (I've changed nothing on it, just updated the prices). There are a few things to take note of, and as to why I think Gold still has a long way down:

 

RSI has crossed below 50. Not that it has too, but notice that the RSI has yet to enter the oversold range in this entire correction, in fact the last time Gold was in oversold territory was Oct. 2008.

Bear Cross on the MACD, bearish histogram.

Bearish DI cross on the ADX, also notice the ADX line turning up!

The stochastic is plunging fast.

 

God Speed.

 

 

 

If we break 1310 the gold bull is over. I prefer Quad's count, with this being a 4th wave, followed by an extended 5th. Buy in May, go away.

[Ohshikung 80]

ขอบคุณครับ

[kh.sathit 13]

Hulloo Sirs.

am new bie krab.

Thanks you so much.

I have cut cut cut.

When will to welcome the down hill rebound?

ถูกแก้ไข พฤศจิกายน 18, 2011 โดย GoldBullish