โอกาส "เงิน" (จริงๆ) : ระยะประชิด

[ส้มโอมือ 4,910]

ภาพเหรียญทองคำจากgoogle

http://www.google.co.th/search?tbm=isch&hl=th&source=hp&biw=1366&bih=628&q=silver+bar&gbv=2&oq=silver+ba&aq=2&aqi=g4g-S1g-sS2g-S2&aql=&gs_l=img.1.2.0l4j0i24j0i10i24l2j0i24l2.5828l33091l0l36988l19l19l4l2l1l0l209l2046l0j12j1l13l0.frgbld.#hl=th&gbv=2&tbm=isch&sa=1&q=gold+coin&oq=gold+coin&aq=0&aqi=g2g-S8&aql=&gs_l=img.1.0.0l2j0i24l8.626876l636819l0l641155l10l10l0l0l0l0l188l1462l0j10l10l0.frgbld.&pbx=1&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.r_qf.,cf.osb&fp=bbbed36ef83d6336&biw=1366&bih=628

[ส้มโอมือ 4,910]

การขึ้นภาษีของอินเดียทำให้การนำเข้าโลหะเงินและทองคำไตรมาสนี้ต่ำกว่าประมาณการณ์(ทองคำปรับขึ้นภาษี2ครั้งโลหะเงินปรับครั้งเดียว)

 

Indian 2012 silver imports to fall up to 27%: Scotia

Indian gold imports to fall 38% in 2012; taxes on gold could revive smuggling routes in India; investor interest in gold may decline on risk appetite

 

Mumbai: Silver imports into India, the biggest consumer of the white metal, are likely to decline up to 27% this year on expectations of volatile prices, despite import duty remaining unchanged, the head of the country’s biggest bullion importer said on Monday

Sunil Kashyap, head of Asia at Scotia Mocatta, a unit of Bank of Nova Scotia, said investors in India were averse to steep and volatile changes in prices of silver, which could dent imports.

Silver imports are likely to fall to 3,500-4,000 tonnes in 2012, down from 4,800 tonnes imported last year, Kashyap said.

The government, in its annual Budget in March, kept the import duty on silver unchanged at 5% on value. It abolished the excise duty on silver, often considered as poor man’s gold. Silver prices have risen 112% since 2009.

The Budget, however, doubled the import tax on gold to 4% of value, which led to a prolonged shutdown by jewellers who have urged for a rollback of the duty.

“Import taxes increase the cost of (the yellow) metal to the final consumer and so the higher price may dampen demand for 2012,” said Kashyap.

Gold imports could fall 38% to 600 tonnes in 2012, he said.

Scotia is the largest bullion importer in India, with about 35% marketshare. The bank operates in collaboration with wholesalers across the country.

Kashyap said a slew of taxes on gold could revive smuggling routes and government revenues may fall on account of lower imports.

“If they are trying to stop imports, well they have succeeded, but what will have happen to the revenues?” Kashyap said.

Declining Interest

Investor interest in gold may decline globally due to rising risk appetite on the back of revival in the US economy.

However, the yellow metal’s status as a safe haven, an asset diversification tool and a store of value still remains unshaken, said Kashyap.

“This (reduction in rise of unemployment in the US) has in turn resulted in higher equity values and there as been some rotation of funds out of the precious metals into equities,” said Kashyap.

Gold reserves held by central banks have increased more than 500 tonnes over the last two years driven by purchases mostly in the developing world as they sought to diversify reserves from the US dollar.

Gold has gained 5% so far in the year, lower than 7% gains in equity markets due to signs of improvement in the economy and stabilization of Europe’s debt crisis.

In the current year, most of the banks have been on the sidelines because “either reached their targeted levels of gold reserves or they are waiting for the right levels to re-enter the market,” said Kashyap.

Gold demand in China is expected to remain volatile. Gold demand from China, which is touted to overtake India’s gold consumption, stood at 811.2 tonnes in 2011, up 22% on year.

“The last two months of the current year have seen a slower growth of demand than the same period in last three years. We expect some increase in off take later this year but overall the growth of demand will be a fraction of the rate we saw last year,” said Kashyap.

http://www.livemint....imports-to.html

ถูกแก้ไข เมษายน 13, 2012 โดย ส้มโอมือ

[ส้มโอมือ 4,910]

ขึ้นภาษีครั้งแรก

 

India Raises Gold & Silver Import Duties

 

[2012-01-29 16:36:49]

 

 

The government of India announces that it has adjusted, from January 17 of 2012, import duties on gold from 300 rupees per 10g to 2% of the gold value per ounce and those on silver from 1,500 rupees/kg to 6% of the silver value per ounce.

 

Analysts and traders indicate that the adjustments approximately double the previous duties, heavily impacting the imports of gold and silver.

 

As per current gold price, gold import duties are raised from USD 5.89 per 10g to USD 11.21, and silver duties from USD 29.51/kg up to USD 59.03.

 

Manish Mathur from Angel Broking, an Indian brokerage company, says that the rise of those duties will largely impact the imports, but it is the result that the government expects, because the imports have severely pulled down the growth of India's GDP.

 

In the last three years, gold imports accounted for about 0.5% of India’s GDP.

[ส้มโอมือ 4,910]

เมื่อเช้าเอาข่าวว่าการที่อินเดียขึ้นภาษีทองคำและโลหะเงิน ทำให้การนำเข้าทองคำและโลหะเงินไตรมาสนี้ลดต่ำลงไปเยอะ แต่กลัวข่าวนี้จะทำให้หลายคนตกใจเลยต้องรีบหาข่าวมาเสริม 555โชคดีหามาเสริมได้ 2เดือนแรกของปีนี้จีนนำเข้าทองคำเพิ่ม587%(จาก10.564ตันเป็น72.617ตันแต่ผมกดตัวเลขได้687%นะ) สาวกโลหะเงินทำใจไปก่อน ยังหาข่าวมาช่วยไม่ได้

 

------ซื้อขายตามข่าวยากมากที่จะหาข่าวได้ครบ มีทั้งข่าวจริง ข่าวลวง ข่าวปล่อย รวมทั้งพวกนั่งเทียนเขียนข่าว

Last Updated :Apr 13, 23:29 IST

BEIJING (Commodity Online): China is not only buying gold, but it is doing so at a super-aggressive pace, latest data from the Hong Kong Census and Statistics Department (HKCSD) shows. China is one of the largest gold markets in the world.

 

As per the data, China imported 72,617 Kilograms of gold in just the first two months of 2012. This is 587% higher than the 10,564 Kilograms imported during the same period last year- Chinese buying has climbed 5 fold in less than a year.

 

Of course the fact remains that China's overall purchase data is unavailable as the government rarely releases them. As such, investors tend to watch out for gold shipments from Hong Kong as an indication of Chinese buying. Traditionally, imports from Hong Kong have accounted for about 50% of China's total gold imports, says Goldcore. As such, it could be safe to assume that China is passing through a massive buying spree

 

The aggressive purchases will possibly make China the biggest gold importer in Q1, 2012, displacing India yet again. A string of higher taxes and weak consumer demand has seen India's apppetite for gold falling and many forecast that Indian demand could infact fall by 50% in the March ending quarter.

 

China's record levels of buying is sure to put smiles across Gold bulls who have been disappointed from the Indian demand of late. Combined with China's higher inflation and lower growth forecasts, it could be safe to assume that the gold bull market is here to stay

http://www.commodity...71-3-47372.html

ถูกแก้ไข เมษายน 14, 2012 โดย ส้มโอมือ

[ส้มโอมือ 4,910]

Tuesday, April 10th 12:55 PM IST

 

Silver Institute to release "World Silver Survey 2012" on April 19

The Silver Institute announced that it would release the 22nd edition of "World Silver Survey" on April 19th 2012, at 8.30 am EDT. An audiocast of the presentation will be available on Silver Institute's website, for the first time.

 

 

WASHINGTON(BullionStreet): The Silver Institute announced that it would release the 22nd edition of "World Silver Survey" on April 19th 2012, at 8.30 am EDT. An audiocast of the presentation will be available on Silver Institute's website, for the first time.

Registration for the free audiocast will be available on the site www.silverinstitute.org. Also "World Silver Survey 2012" can be pre ordered at http://www.silverins...-publications/.

World Silver Survey, an authoritative publication on the silver market, will report on all aspects of the silver market, including key areas such as demand, supply, investment and price.

Thomson Reuters GFMS will produce the "World Silver Survey 2012" on behalf of the Silver Institute, which has been publishing the "Survey" since 1990. Thomson Reuters GFMS is recognized as the world's leading precious metals markets consultancy.

The Silver Institute is a nonprofit international industry association headquartered in Washington, D.C. Established in 1971, the Institute serves as the industry's voice in increasing public understanding of the value and many uses of silver.

 

 

สำหรับคนเก่งภาษจะได้หาข้อมูลSilverเพิ่ม ผมได้แค่นิดหน่อยเยอะไม่ไหว ยิ่งถ้าฟังละก็555

ถูกแก้ไข เมษายน 15, 2012 โดย ส้มโอมือ

[ส้มโอมือ 4,910]

The three biggest silver corrections in the current bull market average to 42.1%.

http://www.silverseek.com/article/when-will-silver-reach-new-high

[milo 888]

ขอบคุณครับ

 

เห็นชาร์ตแล้วเพิ่งสังเกตว่านี่่จะครบปีที่ขึ้นไปจุดสูงสุดแล้วนะครับ

 

น่าจะโลว์ไปแล้วหรือไม่ก็ใกล้เวลา แล้ว

ถูกแก้ไข เมษายน 15, 2012 โดย milo

[ส้มโอมือ 4,910]

เมื่อ ก่อนที่ 45 เหรียญ = 45,000 แต่ตอนนี้กลายเป็น 43 เหรียญ = 40,000 เพราะดอลล่าแข็งครับ ตอนนนี้ถ้าอยากกะคร่าวๆ จากดอลล่า ก็เอาเหรียญคูณ 1000 แล้วลบด้วย 1500-2000 ครับ ส่วนถ้าอยากรู้ราคาจริงๆ ก็เอาราคาด้านมุมบนขวาสุดของเวป คูณ 65.6 ไปก็จะได้ราคาต่อกิโลครับ และเวลาเอาไปขายราคาจะต่ำกว่าราคาที่ทางร้านขายให้เราอยู่โลละ ประมาณ 1300 ครับ

 

ส่วน Silver ราคาที่สวิงขนาดนี้ก็ปรกตินั่นนะครับเพราะจาก 47 ยังลงมา 34 ได้เลย เพียงแต่ไม่ปรกติสำหรับทอง ซึ่งนานๆจะเกิดซักที คนถือเงินถ้าเงินเย็นก็สบายๆครับ จะเห็นได้ว่าจากเหตุการณ์ที่พึ่งเกิด คนถือ Physical จะได้เปรียบกว่าคนเล่น future เพราะจะไม่โดน force sell ถ้าติดดอยก็ทิ้งไว้อย่างงั้นไม่เดือดร้อน ไม่บูด ไม่เน่า ไม่งอแงไม่ต้องให้อาหาร และผมว่าหลายๆ ท่านในนี้เคยเจอหนักกันยิ่งกว่านี้กันมาแล้วเสียด้วยซ้ำ เจอกันจนตายด้านเลยทีเดียว แต่ก็ถือไว้ไม่นานก็กลับมาที่เดิม อย่างเช่นย้อนไปช่วงประมาณ 2 ปีก่อนตอนช่วงทองรอบ 19,000 บาทกว่าๆ ช่วงคนทั่วไปก็อารมณ์ประมาณนี้เลยครับกำลังตืนเต้นกับราคาที่พึ่งเป็นจรวด ตอนนั้นก็ตกลงมาเหลือ 17,000 กว่าๆ ไม่เกิน 6 เดือนสุดท้ายก็มาเจอกันที่ 19000 และ ต่อมาก็ถึง 24000 นั่นคืออดีตที่ผ่านมา แต่สำหรับ Silver ช่วงเวลาอาจไม่เท่ากันซึ่งส่วนใหญ่จะนานกว่าซักหน่อยดังนั้นไม่ต้องกังวล อะไรมากหรอครับ เมื่อมองย้อนกลับไปไฮสูงสุดของเงินตลอดการคือ 50 เหรียญกว่าๆ เมื่อ 30 กว่าปีก่อน ซึ่งถ้าเทียบกับ Commodity ตัวอื่นๆ ผมก็ยังว่ายังมีโอกาศอีกไกลที่จะไปครับ เพราะจะเป็นไปได้อย่างไรที่ของที่มีความต้องการอยู่เรื่อยๆ แต่ราคาดันต่ำกว่าที่เป็นในอดีต ดังนั้นผมจึงว่ายังไม่น่าจะมีเหตุผลอันไดที่ต้องกังวลครับ ถ้าถือซัก 2 ปีแล้วลองเปรียบเทียบกับกับฝากประจำธนาคาร ผมแทงว่า คุณ sarapao จะรู้สึกไม่อยากฝากประจำกับธนาคารอีกเลยครับ

 

ส่วน ว่าจะซื้อตอนมันเทกระจาดแบบนี้หรือไม่ ก็คงตอบว่าซื้อแน่นอนครับ เพียงแต่ว่าจะตอนไหนก็แค่นั้นเอง เพราะผมก็เห็นหลายๆคน ทะยอยทำกำไรทองคำไปตั้งแต่ช่วงต้นอาทิตย์แล้วรวมถึงผมก็ออกไปตอนเมือวานซึ่น ตอนนี้ต่างก็จ้องราคาเทกระจาดตาเป็นมันกันอยู่ตอนนี้ ส่วน Silver สารภาพว่าคราวนี้ผมอดของถูกเลย ซื้อซะยอดเลย แต่ก็เก็บไว้อย่างงั้นไม่เน่าอีกเช่นเคย ครับ Silver มันซื้อง่ายขายยาก(ร้านมันน้อย)ต้องเก็บยาวๆ คิดแบบนี้ก็สยายใจแล้วครับ

 

แต่ เรียนให้ทราบก่อนว่าที่เล่นรอบนี่ผมเ่ล่นเอาขำๆ แก้เบื่อนะครับ เพราะเมื่อก่อนก็เคยเล่นรอบ แต่เล่นไปเล่นมาเครียดเกิน เลยเปลี่ยน ส่วนใหญ่ผมก็เก็บแบบเก็งกำไร แบบพวกพี่หมอเล็ก พี่ใหญ่ พี่ส้มโอเสียมากกว่า เงินครบก็ซื้อไม่คิดมากไม่เครียด สบายๆ ลงทองซัก 2000 ก็ยังชิวครับ ดีต่อสุขภาพจิตด้วย

 

ส่วนคนที่โดร Future ฟันไป ก็ขอให้สู้ต่อไปครับ นะครับ เพราะเืมื่อมีล้ม ก็ต้องมีลุกครับ

:_087

 

 

 

ฝากรูปนี้ไว้ครับ ดูที่ปี 2008 Silver ขึ้นแรงก็ลงแรง

 

 

 

เอาชัวร์้ต้องทองคำ เอามันต้อง Silver ครับ

[jewjang40 5,712]

มีความสุขสดชื่นร่ำรวยต้อนรับเทศกาลสงกรานต์นะคะคุณส้มโอมือ

[deb99 290]

ขอบคุณครับ

[ส้มโอมือ 4,910]

หลายคนสงสัยว่าโลหะเงินส่วนที่ใช้ในอุตสาหกรรมใช้ในงานอะไรบ้าง เอาข้อมูลมาฝากครับ เป็นข้อมูลเก่านะครับ ข้อมูลหลายส่วนเป็นการคาดการณ์ซึ่งอาจจะไม่ใช่ก็ได้ครับ

Where Silver's Been and Where It's Going

 

Source: Julian Phillips, Gold Forecaster (4/1/11)

"The future for silver looks remarkable."

 

 

GFMS produced the report for the Silver Institute published last week. We have used this as a basis for this article on silver supply and demand in the last three years. Our objective in this piece is to have recent history confirm what we expect of the future for silver.

 

Industrial Demand

 

The first fact that jumps off the page is that the future for silver looks remarkable with industrial silver demand rising from 15,160.19 tons—487.4 million ounces (Moz.) in 2010 to 20,712.29 tons (665.9 Moz.) in 2015.

 

Much of the growth in the global total of industrial silver consumption will be driven by stronger demand for a number of established uses including the manufacture of electrical contacts and the use of silver in the photovoltaic industry. New uses center on silver's antibacterial qualities, while other new uses tend to make use of its conductive properties, including solid-state lighting and Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) tags. Overall please note that silver's importance in the technology of the day is huge. We go so far as to say that the demand from silver has transformed from a want to a need! Whether we are in a boom or bust silver's demand will remain robust. It is now needed to make all facets of an economy run well and at all levels, even down to individual needs. This secures its future and assures us that silver prices are well supported. Here is the list of the amounts used in different applications that emphasize this point.

• Cell phones used 404.35 tons (13 Moz.) of silver last year.
  
• Computers consumed 684.29 tons (22 Moz.).
  
• Thick film PV consumed 1,461.90 tons (47 Moz.) in 2010.
  
• Automobiles, which used 1,119.75 tons (36 Moz.) of silver.
  
• Electrical and electronics demand for silver reached an all-time high of 7,555.21 tons (242.9 Moz.).
  
• Solar power in 2011 is expected to reach 2,177.29 tons (70 Moz.), up 40%.
  
• RFID tags in 2010 reached between 31 and 62 tons with a long way to go before reaching full market.
  
• Water purification used 62 tons (2 Moz.) set to grow to 74.65 tons (2.4 Moz.).
  
• Medical applications may grow strongly to reach 93.3 tons (3 Moz.) by 2015.(คาดการณ์ซึ่งอาจจะไม่ใช่ก็ได้)
  
• The use of nano-silver in goods packaging and hygiene combined would consume 124.4 tons (4 Moz.) of silver over the next five years.(คาดการณ์ซึ่งอาจจะไม่ใช่ก็ได้)
  

Silver Is Consumed

 

While photographic use of silver allows for the re-cycling of silver, reclamation of silver from most of the above uses is difficult to nigh impossible. This in itself assures either a constant or a rising demand for these applications.

 

Of particular note is the growth in Asia where we are watching around half of the globe's population developing at infrastructural level as never before. This growth will continue at double figures, per annum for at least the next decade.

 

Gold is rarely consumed as it is deemed far too valuable. Reclamation efforts relative to the value of the gold ensures that scrap merchants will go to extraordinary lengths to recover the gold. In silver's case these efforts would cost more than the sale of the silver so used. As the silver price rises further reclamation efforts will become profitable and more silver will be recovered, but we are still a long way off from that day.

 

Investment Demand

 

HSBC, the world's largest bullion dealer (in both gold and silver) is confirming that silver's role as a monetary metal is gathering the most momentum, particularly in emerging economies. They say that the macro economic trends from emerging markets are positive for both gold and silver. They put the growing Chinese middle classes (now well over 400 million people of the 1.3 billion Chinese citizens) as fueling an “explosive” growth in demand for silver as a hedge against fast rising inflation. The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, the world's largest bank by market value, agrees this. ICBC sold 13 tons (418,000 ounces) of physical silver to Chinese citizens in January, alone, compared with 32.97 tons (1.06 Moz.) for the whole of 2010.

 

We have seen China turn from an exporter of silver to a huge importer in the last three years. And that's just the start! China was a net importer of over 3,110.42 tons (100 Moz.) of silver last year, whereas while it was selling ‘official' holdings of silver only a few years ago it was exporting an equal amount annually.

 

China's ravenous new demand for silver as a store of value in inflationary times is growing exponentially. This is illustrated by the fact that silver imports last year increased four-fold over 2009.

 

 

Supply

 

While we don't yet have the numbers for supply of silver in 2010 we do not expect them to have risen more than 10% over 2009 levels (in table above). Once we have these we will pass the information onto you.

 

With 70% of silver mined as a byproduct of base metal mining there is a danger of demand outstripping supply. The present sources of byproduct silver are operating at peak capacity. Pure silver producers like Silver Wheaton are growing but unlikely to be able to fill the gap. Mines like Coeur d'Alene, which is becoming a 50% gold and 50% silver producer do have a considerable capacity for growth and will do so. But again with demand burgeoning on both the investment and industrial sides supply will find it difficult to meet demand.

 

Another difficulty for supply is that they are inflexible because of their dependence on mining. We do foresee rising scrap sales from the developed world where the sight of a profit on jewelry etc, can prove too tempting to the individual, but we cannot see this being more than 10 to 20% more than in 2009. In the emerging world such a concept is basically foreign to them because both silver and gold represent financial security to investors there.

 

If the developed world were stable and if the emerging world was used to their newfound wealth, and were their history not as close to social rupture as it has been and could be, emerging market investors would probably not trust gold and silver as much as they do now. But that is the case now. We believe (if history is to guide us) that it will take at least another generation (25 years) of wealth and stability in the emerging world for this attitude to change. Until then scrap supplies from the emerging world will remain at extremely low levels.

 

Prospects for the Silver Price

 

In 2011, we are seeing prices far above those imagined three or four years ago. But then the world is facing far more uncertainty and instability that was ever imagined then, too. The decay of currencies ability to measure value has been increasing over that time too, making the soaring prices of silver and gold to become more than plausible. Indeed a strange feature of the silver price has been it moves with gold as though tied with a piece of elastic string to the gold price, rising higher and falling lower at each move. So why does it not move more like copper or another base metal used as a simple commodity? And where, if it doesn't move like them, is it headed?

 

Subscribers only—Subscribe for gold or silver.

 

Legal Notice/Disclaimer

 

This document is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for any investment. Gold Forecaster - Global Watch/Julian D. W. Phillips/Peter Spina, have based this document on information obtained from sources it believes to be reliable but which it has not independently verified; Gold Forecaster - Global Watch/Julian D. W. Phillips/Peter Spina make no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. Expressions of opinion are those of Gold Forecaster - Global Watch/Julian D. W. Phillips/Peter Spina only and are subject to change without notice. Gold Forecaster - Global Watch/Julian D. W. Phillips/Peter Spina assume no warranty, liability or guarantee for the current relevance, correctness or completeness of any information provided within this Report and will not be held liable for the consequence of reliance upon any opinion or statement contained herein or any omission. Furthermore, we assume no liability for any direct or indirect loss or damage or, in particular, for lost profit, which you may incur as a result of the use and existence of the information, provided within this Report.

ถูกแก้ไข เมษายน 16, 2012 โดย ส้มโอมือ

[Robbo7 16]

โห นับถือคุณส้มโอมือจริงๆ

ขอบคุณมากๆครับ

[ส้มโอมือ 4,910]

โห นับถือคุณส้มโอมือจริงๆ

ขอบคุณมากๆครับ

 

หาข้อมูลSilverภาษาไทยไม่ค่อยเจอแล้ว เลยต้องหาจากภาษาอังกฤษแล้วละ แต่บอกก่อนนะภาษอังกฤษผมอ่อน ใครเก่งภาษาถ้าผมผิดพลาดช่วยแก้ด้วยนะ มีตรงไหนที่สำคัญแล้วผมผ่าน(ผมดูผ่านๆเลยนะ) ช่วยสรุปให้เพื่อนด้วย

 

ในเมื่อวางแผนถือโลหะเงินยาว ก็ต้องหมั่นหาข้อมูลครับ การถือยาวมีความเสี่ยงสูงต้องหาข้อมูลอยู่เสมอครับ

[ส้มโอมือ 4,910]

Comex silver stocks hit highest in at least 28 mths

 

By brotherjohnf on Monday, April 16th, 2012 | 4 Comments

April 16, 2012 – 1:28pm

Source: Reuters

(Reuters) – Silver stockpiles in Comex-monitored warehouses a re at their highest level since at least December 2009, s howing near-term supply of the metal is plentiful as mine output holds at record levels and the global economic recovery struggles for traction.

The rise is not reflected in silver prices, however, suggesting a fluid relationship between stocks and spot prices. Silver prices have risen 13 percent so far in 2012, while inventories have increased by more than 20 percent.

The U.S.-based silver stockpiles stood at 141.59 million ounces on Friday, up from 140.6 million ounces the previous day and 102.65 million ounces a year ago.

That figure reflects both registered stocks – material covered by an ownership title – and eligible stocks at warehouses monitored by Comex.

“When you are seeing people delivering into Comex, it is typically because they have nothing better to do with the metal,” Mitsui Precious Metals analyst David Jollie said.

“Generally if you are seeing Comex stocks building, you would say that means that premiums are not particularly high anywhere, and that means that (global) demand is low.”

Stocks fell to their lowest in nearly a decade at 97.86 million ounces last June, shortly after prices crashed spectacularly from record highs near $50 an ounce, shedding a third of their value in just six sessions.

[ส้มโอมือ 4,910]

Why you should buy your wife a silver spoon than a gold bar

 

 

Published on Tue, Apr 10, 2012 at 12:25 | Source : Moneycontrol.com

Updated at Wed, Apr 11, 2012 at 08:56

 

Like this story, share it with millions of investors on M3

 

3

Share on Tumblr

Sagar Salvi & Riken Mehta

moneycontrol.com

"Buy yourself some silver chopsticks or some silver cutlery...you will be very rich in 5 or 10 years." Well, that was investment guru Jim Rogers' call at the start of 2011. Rogers is chairman of Rogers Holdings.

In 2011, however, silver prices remained somewhat flat as oppose to 2010, when prices surged 77%. Last year, though inflation had remained high, commodity prices could not take off due to government's all out efforts to rein in inflation. In addition, absence of the much-anticipated QE3 from US Federal Reserve Bank has taken the sheen off precious metals further, especially in the short-term.

Nevertheless, a strong bullish case can still be made for silver over the long-term (read: next 3-5 years) on simple demand and supply factors. A major underlying aspect, which will drive up silver prices, is its industrial uses. In some cases, the widely used raw material cannot be recovered, which makes it that much dearer.

Moreover, we do not have an alternative to gold and silver for now.

Gold Vs Silver

Silver performed much better than gold in 2010 with prices rising by an astounding 80% which is two and half times the rise in price of gold. Along with being deemed a safe investment, the relatively low supply of the metal as compared to the high demand has also contributed to the steady increase in price. In the first three months of 2012, silver price increased at a steady 13.9% compared to gold's 4.8% jump. Historically silver has outperformed gold year-after-year, with a high risk-reward ratio.

 

 

 

* Annual returns based on USD Gold and Silver prices

3 scenarios when Gold/Silver rally

1) When US dollar (dominant currency) declines, gold and silver prices see moderate gains-inverse correlation.

2) When US dollar strengthens, rupee falls, which leads to firming up of gold/silver prices domestically.

3) When demand for precious metals rise due to festive/social demand, prices escalate.

Recently, China has outpaced India in terms of gold consumption. So there is a fair chance that even if the US economy comes out of its recessionary-type situation leading to a stronger dollar, the growing Chinese consumption may keep prices of precious metals up.

ถูกแก้ไข เมษายน 18, 2012 โดย ส้มโอมือ